EICTP study: Scenarios for Turkey’s political development until 2030

The new EICTP study “Scenarios for Turkey’s political development until 2030”, produced in cooperation with the Center for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS) at SWP Berlin, develops six possible scenarios for Turkey’s domestic and foreign policy development. Based on a sound scenario methodology, it highlights opportunities and risks for Europe, especially Germany—from authoritarian consolidation and the formation of anti-Western alliances to cautious democratization with partial rapprochement with the West. The findings offer decision-makers valuable guidance in an increasingly uncertain geopolitical situation.

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