Between Terrorism and Amok: Hybrid Extremism, Digital Radicalization and Stochastic Violence

The EICTP Expert Paper “Between Terror and Amok” explores the growing overlap between terrorism and rampage violence, drawing on the 2024 Magdeburg Christmas market attack and the 2025 Graz school shooting as case studies. It highlights how hybrid extremism, digital radicalization, and stochastic violence increasingly blur the lines between ideologically motivated terrorism and impulsive acts…

EICTP study: Scenarios for Turkey’s political development until 2030

The new EICTP study “Scenarios for Turkey’s political development until 2030”, produced in cooperation with the Center for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS) at SWP Berlin, develops six possible scenarios for Turkey’s domestic and foreign policy development. Based on a sound scenario methodology, it highlights opportunities and risks for Europe, especially Germany—from authoritarian consolidation and the…

Decoding the Terrorist Mind

This paper explores the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) with forensic linguistic and theological analysis to decode the visual propaganda of Salafi-Jihadi groups, particularly the Islamic State (IS). Recognizing the limitations of Western-centric and orientalist paradigms in conventional Terrorism Studies, the authors advocate for a decolonized, evidence-based approach that centers the theocentric worldview of jihadist…

The Islamist-motivated terrorist attack in Villach

The Islamist-motivated knife attack in Villach in February 2025 highlights the growing threat posed by online radicalization. Since the Hamas terrorist attack on October 7, 2023, Salafist-jihadist networks have stepped up their propaganda on the internet and created a “virtual caliphate” that reaches young Muslims via social media and encrypted platforms. The alleged perpetrator in…

European Trend Report on Terrorism 2025

The evolving threat landscape of extremism and terrorism poses a central security policy challenge for European states, demanding a comprehensive and projective strategic analysis. Unlike many conventional trend reports that simply extrapolate past developments into the future, the EICTP European Trend Report on Terrorism 2025 (ETRT) is distinguished by its foundation in strategic foresight methodology.…

Meeting Prof. Dr. Giray Sadık

On 27 November 2024, EICTP organized a workshop with Prof. Dr. Giray Sadık. The central topic was the issue of hybrid warfare, combined with the question of what consequences this has for conflict prevention. Prof. Sadik is a renowned Turkish political scientist and expert in international relations. He holds a PhD in Political Science from…

Vienna Migration Conference

  The Vienna Migration Conference took place on October 22 and 23, 2024. The conference brought together over 300 decision-makers, practitioners and experts from government, the private sector, academia, international organizations and civil society to discuss key topics on the European migration agenda for the next five years.  

Meeting Colin P. Clarke

On October 15, 2024, the EICTP hosted Colin P. Clarke, Head of Research at the Soufan Center. He analyzed current trends and future challenges in terrorism. Prior to joining the Soufan Center, Clarke was a professor at Carnegie Mellon University and a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation, where he spent a decade researching…

CERA Conference

CERA 2024 took place on October 4, 2024 under the title “Political Islam between Idea and Practice”. Over 80 participants discussed the various Islamist actors and the tension between ideology and practice. The CERA conferences make a significant contribution to promoting academic discourse on political Islam and radicalization and provide an important platform for international…